Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.338227 4.659705 5.009586 5.421730 5.898039 6.436414 7.098653
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.906606 4.325524 4.807940 5.414218 6.170568 7.104890 8.384757
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.602950 4.087275 4.671377 5.447482 6.485613 7.884469 10.034791
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.358768 3.889665 4.556114 5.487462 6.819146 8.780733 12.215545
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.222659 3.810971 4.580773 5.716797 7.469603 10.351265 16.400307
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.957705 3.539479 4.319174 5.507897 7.431691 10.837155 19.044831
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.830483 3.440009 4.283099 5.626674 7.953692 12.564709 26.747969
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.702823 3.328300 4.217336 5.691185 8.411419 14.460130 39.783451
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.533303 3.144256 4.027122 5.527169 8.412218 15.364829 53.475307
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.372443 2.961660 3.823564 5.315255 8.276883 15.897798 70.709669
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.339174 2.961548 3.899742 5.600981 9.274473 20.713914 396.315498
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.371806 3.061424 4.145585 6.250139 11.441704 34.949577 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.249568 2.929333 4.019016 6.204935 11.984282 45.528846 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.125844 2.786496 3.861202 6.072383 12.255587 58.024333 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.025294 2.673610 3.745224 6.012943 12.781329 84.411822 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.937871 2.575862 3.646997 5.978298 13.429807 147.742911 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.887349 2.534395 3.646407 6.173584 15.216619 2106.873295 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.783071 2.397651 3.457214 5.879611 14.690911 62609.021132 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.731267 2.345247 3.422088 5.966165 16.132273 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.677690 2.286365 3.369035 5.998407 17.432708 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.603934 2.189095 3.233581 5.787872 17.144612 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.531288 2.090486 3.089236 5.534645 16.449934 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.515874 2.089193 3.136492 5.820655 19.836841 NaN NaN